William Data Insights
Institutional Pre-Match Quant Intelligence
Every tip-ready fixture ships a full research Desk.
Match Pick appears only when execution prices
clear honest product gates — not every match.
League-first coverage
Premier League and expanding European slate from local publish artifacts. Sparse desks stay labeled as such — not PL-grade ROI narrative.
Publisher-verified batch
Every report is saved before kickoff. Immutable, read-only distribution with full audit trail per publication.
Preview free, unlock on demand
Free shows 1X2 bands and surface presence. Pro unlocks the full Desk report (Judgment, Matrix, Sharp Tip Desk, Notes) on every tip-ready fixture — Match Pick only when B365 clears gates. Elite adds the Combo Desk.
Five big-five desks with local season tables. Tap a card for standings and coverage notes.
Geo / SKILL · xGF only
Geo-kinetic priors and optional XGBoost residuals feed attack/defense expected goals. L2 never prices 1X2 — it only supplies xGF / xGA into the match input.
Frank Copula · COM-Poisson · IPF
Joint scorelines, asymmetric tails, and soft market-margin anchoring. L1 owns λ/μ, 1X2 probabilities, and EV — physics plus Copula, not a black-box classifier.
ANCHOR · ALPHA · ROCKET
ANCHOR is the production spine; ALPHA and ROCKET stay visible as research tracks with different volatility — confidence stars are an index, not a stake %.
Explanatory surface only — this site does not run the engine. XGBoost enhances fundamentals, never replaces Copula pricing.