William Data Insights
Institutional Pre-Match Quant Intelligence
See the fair 1X2 before tip culture does — then unlock the desk.
Free: 1X2 fusion bands. Pro: Model Judgment → Value CTA (Primary / Secondary / Longshot), λ/μ, scorelines — tip frozen T−60m.
League-first coverage
Premier League and expanding European slate from local publish artifacts. Sparse desks stay labeled as such — not PL-grade ROI narrative.
Publisher-verified batch
Every report is saved before kickoff. Immutable, read-only distribution with full audit trail per publication.
Preview free, unlock on demand
Free shows 1X2 bands and track presence. Pro unlocks Model Judgment, then Value CTAs when tip prices clear gates — plus scorelines, narrative, and λ/μ. Elite adds Combo Desk when CTA is empty.
Five big-five desks with local season tables. Tap a card for standings and coverage notes.
Geo / SKILL · xGF only
Geo-kinetic priors and optional XGBoost residuals feed attack/defense expected goals. L2 never prices 1X2 — it only supplies xGF / xGA into the match input.
Frank Copula · COM-Poisson · IPF
Joint scorelines, asymmetric tails, and soft market-margin anchoring. L1 owns λ/μ, 1X2 probabilities, and EV — physics plus Copula, not a black-box classifier.
ANCHOR · ALPHA · ROCKET
ANCHOR is the production spine; ALPHA and ROCKET stay visible as research tracks with different volatility — confidence stars are an index, not a stake %.
Explanatory surface only — this site does not run the engine. XGBoost enhances fundamentals, never replaces Copula pricing.