William Data Insights
Institutional Pre-Match Quant Intelligence
Every tip-ready fixture ships a full research Desk.
Match Pick appears only when execution prices
clear honest product gates — not every match.
Registry coverage
Tip-ready desks ship across all covered leagues & cups on the local registry — not a summer shortlist. Sparse desks stay labeled as such — never PL-grade ROI narrative. Cup desks do not inherit league ROI bands.
Publisher-verified batch
Every report is saved before kickoff. Immutable, read-only distribution with full audit trail per publication.
Preview free, unlock on demand
Free shows 1X2 bands and surface presence. Pro unlocks the full Desk report (Judgment, Matrix, Sharp Tip Desk, Notes) on every tip-ready fixture — Match Pick only when B365 clears gates. Elite adds the Combo Desk.
Big-five cards below are entry samples with local standings. The Intelligence Hub publishes tip-ready reports across all covered leagues & cups when each match clears the T−60 gate — not a fixed “main sell” shortlist. Browse the full catalog →
Geo / SKILL · xGF only
Geo-kinetic priors and optional XGBoost residuals feed attack/defense expected goals. L2 never prices 1X2 — it only supplies xGF / xGA into the match input.
Frank Copula · COM-Poisson · IPF
Joint scorelines, asymmetric tails, and soft market-margin anchoring. L1 owns λ/μ, 1X2 probabilities, and EV — physics plus Copula, not a black-box classifier.
ANCHOR · ALPHA · ROCKET
ANCHOR is the production spine; ALPHA and ROCKET stay visible as research tracks with different volatility — confidence stars are an index, not a stake %.
Explanatory surface only — this site does not run the engine. XGBoost enhances fundamentals, never replaces Copula pricing.